Global Economic Health Check

chart depicts global health trend at 35.2 trending weak to 42.0.

Source: U.S. Bank Asset Management Group, November 24, 2023. The proprietary U.S. Bank Global Economic Health Check analyzes more than 1,000 data points across 22 major economies representing 80% of total global wealth to reflect our view of the strength of economic growth worldwide.


Weekly market analysis

The holiday shopping season is underway, with Black Friday e-commerce in the U.S. increasing 7.5% over last year to a record $9.8 billion. However, inflation, interest rates and fears of an economic downturn are headwinds for shoppers.

Quarterly outlook



Q4 2023 Investment Outlook: Markets face headwinds as higher interest rates slow the economy

Interest rates and inflationary pressures remain the dominant factors shaping capital market dynamics today. Learn what this may mean for investors as 2023 draws to a close.

News and updates

Stay informed on key topics likely to impact markets, the economy and investors.

The impact of U.S. national debt on your investments

November 24, 2023
As the national debt continues to grow, investors should take into account long-term considerations potentially impacting interest rates, capital markets and the economy.

Is the economy at risk of a recession?

November 30, 2023
The Federal Reserve is focused on fighting inflation with ongoing policy moves intended to slow consumer demand. Does this put the economy at risk of a recession?

Analysis: China’s economy and its influence on global markets

November 29, 2023
What should investors consider when seeking emerging market exposure to the world’s second-largest economy?

The impact of today’s higher interest rates on the housing market

November 29, 2023
Existing home sales are on pace in 2023 for the worst year since 1993.

Investing in tech stocks: Is now a good time?

November 22, 2023
Tech stocks are up this year – outperforming the broader S&P 500 by a wide margin. What does this mean for investors?

Is another market correction coming?

November 22, 2023
Do stock market gains in November signal the emergence of a bullish trend or is it simply a case of more volatility following three months of declines?

Treasury yields invert as investors weigh risk of recession

November 21, 2023
What does an inverted yield curve say about the economy’s prospects for a recession?

How commodity prices can impact markets and inflation

November 20, 2023
What opportunities does today’s volatile commodities market offer investors?

Understanding the federal budget impasse and potential government shutdown

November 17, 2023
Congress and the White House agreed to stopgap legislation that funds federal government operations into the early part of 2024, but the threat of another shutdown may surface again.

Analysis: Assessing inflation’s impact

November 15, 2023
While the pace of rising inflation is slowing, persistently higher prices continue to weigh on consumers and policymakers alike.

Investors focus attention on corporate earnings

November 13, 2023
What do the latest corporate earnings reveal about the direction of the economy and markets in 2024?

How do rising interest rates affect the stock market?

November 10, 2023
With interest rates staying higher for longer, learn what the ripple effect across capital markets may mean for investors.

Cash management and investing strategies when interest rates are up

November 8, 2023
A fresh look at managing cash and investments in today’s higher interest rate environment can help support your pursuit of the goals that matter most to you.

How does consumer spending impact the health of the economy?

November 8, 2023
In a delicate balancing act with a Federal Reserve intent on slowing the economy to fight inflation, steady consumer spending has helped avoid a recession. But does record household debt threaten to tip the scales?

How rising interest rates impact the bond market

November 7, 2023
With the Federal Reserve maintaining higher interest rates for longer to get inflation under control, what opportunities does this create for bond investors?

The effect of the job market on the economy

November 3, 2023
Set against the backdrop of persistent inflation, the strong job market has drawn the attention of the Federal Reserve as it calibrates monetary policy to help curb inflation.

Federal Reserve focuses monetary policy on fighting inflation

November 3, 2023
With the Federal Reserve maintaining higher interest rates and no longer providing liquidity to the bond market, investors should prepare for change as the Fed continues its fight to lower inflation.

No Fed rate hike for second meeting in a row

November 1, 2023
The Federal Reserve skipped raising interest rates for the second meeting in a row but left the door open to future rate hikes if needed to help curb inflation.

Tactical asset allocation in a changing market

October 19, 2023
Consider these tactical asset allocation strategies to help enhance investment returns and manage overall portfolio risk.

How to invest in today’s market

October 18, 2023
Persistent inflation, elevated interest rates and uncertainty over the pace of earnings growth remain headwinds to advancing equity prices.

Stock market under the Biden administration

October 13, 2023
Explore how capital markets have fared so far under the Biden administration and learn what to expect in the runup to next year’s election.

The fluctuating value of the U.S. dollar and what it means for investors

October 11, 2023
Taking measure of global currency trends as you position your investment portfolio.

New IPOs attract investor interest

October 3, 2023
The IPO market is gaining momentum again following a virtually dormant 2022.

Financial planning considerations when inflation is high and interest rates are rising

August 30, 2023
Persistent inflation and rising interest rates affect your ability to meet your financial goals. Consider these strategies to help mitigate risk and boost potential returns.

Russia-Ukraine conflict and its continued impact on global markets

July 21, 2023
As the most significant military conflict in Europe since World War II drags on, the Russia-Ukraine war continues to impact global markets in significant ways.

Media mentions

The Fed is in ‘wait and see mode’ with remaining inflationary pressures: Eric Freedman

11.29.23 | Fox Business | Video

U.S. Bank Asset Management Group CIO Eric Freedman joined Fox Business’ “Mornings with Maria” to discuss the Federal Reserve, Wednesday’s GDP report and the federal deficit.

Wall Street ends lower amid Cyber Monday madness

11.27.23 | Reuters | Article

“Markets are taking a breather to digest these gains we’ve seen in November,” said Tom Hainlin, national investment strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management in Minneapolis. “We’re at the higher end of a trading range we’ve been in for some time.”

Dow closes 200 points higher, as Microsoft lifts indexes

11.20.23 | CNBC | Article

Tom Hainlin, senior investment strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management, spoke with CNBC about recently released “cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation data,” which raised hope that the Federal Reserve may stop raising interest rates.

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