ECONOMIC INSIGHTS AND COMMENTARY

Analysis and views on the economy, markets and policy

Stay informed on issues shaping the U.S. and world economies and gain perspective from the U.S. Bank Economics Research Group on how your organization can navigate today’s economic environment.

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Economic view

From the desk of Chief Economist Beth Ann Bovino

June 15, 2026

Iran and oil: A straight shot of relief?

If it holds, the deal will meaningfully reduce affordability pressures for the private sector and lower recession risk.

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Weekly Economic Highlights

Week of June 22: A shorter Fed statement, a longer inflation fight

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Monthly Economic Outlook

Macroeconomic forecast: The heat is on!

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In the spotlight

Labor Market

U.S. labor market: Low-hire, low-fire economy

June 11, 2026

The current state of the U.S. labor market reveals a fragile “low-hire, low-fire” economy. Explore job growth trends, unemployment data, and recession risks.

Tariffs and Trade

Trump administration’s economic plan: Potential impact on the broader economy and businesses

March 3, 2026

President Donald Trump’s economic plans, including trade policies, raise questions about the impact on the broader economy and specific industries.

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Economics

The K-shaped economy in 2026: Inequality, technology and the next growth divide

January 7, 2026

The K-shaped economy reflects a long-standing divergence where wealthier households benefit from asset appreciation, better schools and technology, while lower-income families face structural disadvantages and financial strain.

Healthcare

How the U.S. healthcare system is shaping the economy

June 17, 2026

Healthcare touches nearly every corner of the U.S. economy, from household budgets to employer benefit costs, and as its footprint grows, small shifts in costs, staffing and efficiency can ripple far beyond hospitals and clinics.

Global Monetary Policy

How global monetary policy affects the economy

May 22, 2026

Interest-rate policy impacts businesses and consumers alike, determining inflation trends and labor market strength as central banks manage competing economic priorities.

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Global Economy

Can the global economy continue growing?

June 12, 2026

Years of post‑pandemic recovery, persistent inflation and rising tariffs have shaped today’s global economy, leaving growth intact but increasingly uneven across regions and sectors.

Disclosures

This discussion is intended to be informational only and is not exhaustive or conclusive. It is not intended to serve as a recommendation or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any particular product or service. It does not constitute advice and is issued without regard to any particular objective or the financial situation of any particular individual. Some of the information provided has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. Other information represents the opinion of U.S. Bank and is not intended to be a forecast of future events or a guarantee of future results. U.S. Bank and its representatives do not provide tax, accounting or legal advice. Each individual's financial situation is unique. You should consult your tax, accounting and/or legal advisor for advice and information concerning your particular situation.

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